The Black Swan. The Impact of the Highly Improbable (2nd Ed.)
Filozofija - knjige
089337
New York
2010
13×20,5
meki
445
engleski
Cijena: 13,50 EUR
With a New Section "On Robustness & Fragility". This seminal work by the distinguished thinker, statistician, and former financial trader Nassim Nicholas Taleb stands as one of the most influential and important books of the early 21st century, fundamentally reshaping how we perceive risk, history, and uncertainty. In this fascinating blend of philosophy, cognitive science, and business analysis, Taleb develops the theory of 'black swans'—rare, virtually unpredictable events with massive, transformative consequences for humanity, which society subsequently and unjustifiably attempts to rationalize as logical and foreseeable. Writing in an exceptionally sharp style imbued with erudition and cynicism toward the academic and economic establishment, the author dissects the human tendency to create narratives and false security, while simultaneously offering practical philosophical tools for navigating an inherently chaotic and unpredictable world. This expanded second edition is highly prized as it features an exclusive, subsequently added authorial essay titled 'On Robustness & Fragility,' in which Taleb deepens his theses in light of the global financial crisis. It is an absolute classic of contemporary thought and non-fiction, making it essential reading for economists, investors, philosophers, and any reader looking to develop critical thinking and deeply understand the hidden mechanisms that drive the modern world.